Cristian Garin vs Gastao Elias Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve points over the recent months are almost identical, with Garin at 46.18% and Elias at 45.78%. This stat typically has a significant impact on match outcomes.
• In return games, Elias outperforms Garin, securing 50.42% of their opponents' second serve points, compared to Garin's 44.43%. For first serve returns, Elias also leads with 30.17% over Garin's 27.6%.
• Garin is slightly better at handling breakpoints, saving 51.03%, while Elias saves 48.36%. This can be crucial in tight match situations.
• Garin and Elias have similar match win percentages over the last year, with Garin at 56.86% and Elias at 56.52%. This indicates a fairly balanced competition between them.
• Both players favor clay courts but Garin has a higher career win percentage on this surface at 63% compared to Elias's 57%.
• Garin has demonstrated higher success at lower-tier tournaments, with a 66.67% win rate, whereas Elias has managed a 48% win rate.
• Elias holds a slight edge in head-to-head matchups, having won their only previous encounter and the deciding set in that match.
• In matches against opponents, Garin faces tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 187.39 compared to Elias's 316.96, which may prepare Garin better for challenging matches.
• If the match heads to a deciding set, Elias has a stronger track record, winning 59% of such sets, while Garin sits at 50%.
• In converting breakpoints, Elias has the upper hand with a conversion rate of 38.6%, surpassing Garin's 32.85%.

Editorial Prediction (May 15, 2025, UTC):

Elias's superior performance in return games and his ability to convert breakpoints more consistently than Garin suggest a slight advantage in this upcoming match. Though Garin has more experience against higher-ranked opponents and performs better at Challenger events, Elias's previous victory and his effectiveness in deciding sets tilt the balance.

The players are equally adept on clay, where Garin holds a marginal advantage in win percentage historically. However, Elias has shown resilience by winning their past encounter on this surface. The closeness of their past head-to-heads, with Elias winning two sets to Garin's one, suggests that Elias has the psychological edge.

Considering all statistics, Elias appears to have a slight edge over Garin in this contest, especially if it turns into a closely contested battle.